What's Happening with Conservatives and the GOP

With President Obama, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, and Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid all veering to the far left, polls continue to point to significant Republican victories in the 2010 elections.

Rasmussen Reports found that, for the 15th week in a row, voters say they will vote Republican in races for Congress.  If the election were held this week, the GOP would win 43%-39% with 18% undecided.  If the undecided persons didn't vote in these non-presidential elections, the GOP would prevail 52.4% to 47.6%.

The latest Gallup Poll was only slightly different, with the Democrats ahead 46% to 44% and 10% undecided.  Significantly, independents favor the GOP 45% to 36% with 19% not sure.

Another Gallup Poll found that just 21% of the public-including 9% of Republicans, 16% of independents, and 36% of Democrats-approves of the job Congress is doing.

This attitude may be affecting the race for Governor year in Virginia.  The latest Rasmussen Poll found the GOP candidate Bob McDonnell leading Democrat Creigh Deeds 51%-42% with 7% undecided.

Deeds told Politco.com that he was being hurt because of voter concerns over the Democratic Party's national agenda.

"Frankly, a lot of what's going on in Washington has made it very tough," he said.

New Jersey is another state that holds its gubernatorial election in November 2009.  Republican Chris Christie leads incumbent Democratic Governor Jon Corzine 47%-44% with a third party option, Chris Daggett, at 6% and 3% undecided.

In some 2010 races, here are the latest results from Rasmussen of possible races, but with primaries ahead in both parties in many states:

 

Louisiana Senate
Sen. David Vitter (R)            46%  
Charlie Melancon (D)            36%
Undecided                           18%                                                                                                                  

Kentucky Senate
Trey Grayson (R)                   44%
Daniel Mongiardo (D)             37%
Others                                   4%
Undecided                            14%

Delaware Senate
Mike Castle (R)                     47%
Beau Biden (D)                     42%
Others                                   5%
Undecided                              6%

Ohio Senate
Rob Portman (R)                    41%
Lee Fisher (D)                        40%
Undecided                             19%

New York Senate
Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand (D)        44%
George Pataki (R)                   41%
Undecided                              15%

Iowa Governor
Terry Branstad (R)                  54%
Gov. Chet Culver (D)               34%
Undecided                             12%

Iowa Senate
Sen. Charles Grassley (R)        56%
Bob Krause (D)                       30%
Others                                    7%
Undecided                               7%

Missouri Senate
Roy Blunt (R)                         46%
Robin Carnahan (D)                46%
Others                                    2%
Undecided                               5%

North Carolina Senate
Sen. Richard Burr (R)              48%
Elaine Marshall (D)                 38%
Others                                    3%
Undecided                             11%

New Hampshire Senate
Kelly Ayotte (R)                      46%
Paul Hodes (D)                      38%
Others                                    5%
Undecided                             12%

Colorado Senate
Jane Norton (R)                       45%
Sen. Michael Bennet (D)           36%
Others                                     7%
Undecided                              12%

Connecticut Senate
Rob Simmons (R)                    49%
Sen. Chris Dodd                      39%
Others                                     5%
Undecided                                6%

One potential problem for Republicans is the memory of President George W. Bush.  A new Rasmussen Reports survey found that 55% of likely voters blame Bush for the nation's economic problems.

The outcome of many 2010 races will depend on whether the GOP candidates can distance themselves from Bush's policies.         

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